Bihar Poll Analysis: NDA Holds Edge Over Mahagathbandhan In Early Surveys, Experts Say

Bihar Election 2025 Exit Polls: Tight Race Predicted, NDA Holds Slight Edge Over Mahagathbandhan

This special report delves into the exit poll analysis for the 2025 Bihar Assembly election, predicting a tight finish between the incumbent NDA and the Mahagathbandhan. The discussion, featuring pollster Amitabh Tiwari, examines vote share projections, the surprising performance of Nitish Kumar's JDU relative to its ally BJP, and the deep-rooted caste dynamics influencing the electoral outcome. According to pollster Amitabh Tiwari, the gender divide in voting is a critical factor: 'Amongst females, NDA enjoys a 10% lead according to us. But amongst males, the Mahagatbandhan enjoys a 4% lead'. The programme further explores why the BJP has historically struggled to achieve dominance in Bihar's socialist-leaning political landscape, the legacy of Lalu Prasad Yadav, and the leadership challenge faced by Tejashwi Yadav.