There is no “increasing trend” in ‘cloudbursts’ over India in recent years and they remain “impossible” to forecast. However, there has been an increase in ‘mini cloudbursts’, Mrutyunjay Mohapatra, Director-General, India Meteorological Department (IMD), said at a press briefing on Sunday (August 31, 2025).
Rainfall in September — the last official monsoon month — is like in previous months, expected to be ‘above normal’, or 9% more than the usual average of 16.7 cm. Except for the northeastern States and parts of “extreme” southern India, the rest of the country is expected to receive above-normal monsoon.
The three monsoon months so far have seen ‘above normal’ rainfall, in line with what the IMD had forecast in May. Rain from June 1- August 31 was 6% above the normal 70 cm that is usual for the three months. Northwest India — comprising Uttarakhand, most parts of Uttar Pradesh, Punjab, Haryana, Jammu, Kashmir, Rajasthan, and Delhi — saw 26% more rain than what is typical for these three months.