Justin Trudeau hasn't met Katy Perry's friends yet; prediction markets doubt engagement in 2025

Prediction markets like Polymarket and Kalshi saw a rise in online betting on Justin Trudeau and Katy Perry's relationship as the duo walked hand in hand into Katy Perry's birthday celebration in Paris. Before this, they were seen together after their viral kissing photo on a yacht and at a restaurant in Montreal earlier this year.

But neither of those was any public event.There has been no announcement either from Justin Trudeau or Katy Perry but their public appearance at Katy's birthday party is being considered the official declaration that they are dating. Insiders claimed they are actually in love and are trying to keep it low-key at the moment, instead of a social media announcement. An insider told DailyMail that their friends think they are a good match but the former Canada PM has not met a lot of her friends yet.

"Their friends think they are a good match, but he actually hasn't met a lot of her friends yet," the insider told Daily Mail. Astrologer Polina Arutiunian said Truedau and Katy Perry have a magnetic and fiery connection. But speculations cooled off as some reports claimed that Katy Perry was not actively pursuing a relationship right now but stayed in touch with Trudeau. Polymarket shows a possibility of around 31% yes on whether Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau confirm their relationship by October 31 -- confirmation meaning going Instagram official.

"Confirmation must come directly from Katy Perry or Justin Trudeau or their official representative(s), and may come through public statements, social media posts, etc," the rule said. On Kalshi, a bet on 'Will Katy Perry and Justin Trudeau be engaged this year' has around 11% chance. Justin Trudeau was married to Sophie Grégoire until 2023. They first met as children and reconnected in 2003. The couple got engaged in 2004 and married on May 28, 2005, in Montreal.

They have three children: Xavier (born 2007), Ella-Grace (born 2009), and Hadrien (born 2014). After 18 years of marriage, they announced their separation in August 2023. Despite their separation, they remain actively involved in their children's lives and continue to co-parent.

Katy Perry has been married twice, first to British comedian Russell Brand in a Hindu ceremony in India in October 2010. They got divorced in 2012. Katy Perry started dating actor Orlando Bloom in 2016 and got engaged in 2019. They have a daughter, Daisy Dove, born in 2020. The couple ended their engagement in 2025, focusing on co-parenting their daughter with mutual respect and stability.