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NEW DELHI: Raghopur seat is poised for a fierce three-way contest between RJD’s Tejashwi Yadav, BJP’s Satish Kumar and JanSuraaj’s Chanchal Kumar as the constituency awaits results today.Polling has concluded and the fate of the candidates is now sealed in the electronic voting machines. The constituency recorded 68.54 per cent turnout, according to election officials. A poll of polls released on Tuesday suggested that the NDA is likely to return to power with around 148 seats. The RJD-led Mahagathbandhan, despite campaigning on a platform of change, is projected to finish with around 88 seats, while other parties may secure about 7 seats.People’s Pulse estimated 133–159 seats for the NDA, 75–101 for the Mahagathbandhan, 0–5 for Jan Suraaj, and 2–8 for others. The Dainik Bhaskar poll projected 145–160 seats for the NDA and 73–91 for the Mahagathbandhan. It further suggested that Jan Suraaj may not win any seat, while others could secure 5–10.
| Candidates | Party | Votes |
| Samir Kumar Mahaseth | RJD | |
| Rashid Khalil | AIMIM | |
| Anil Kumar Mishra | JanSuraaj |
According to JVC-Polls, the NDA could win 135–150 seats, the Mahagathbandhan 88–103, and others 3–6. Matrize predicted 147–167 seats for the NDA and 70–90 for the opposition alliance, along with 2–10 for others.
People’s Insight forecast 133–148 seats for the NDA, 87–102 for the Mahagathbandhan, and 3–6 for other parties.The Election Commission reported a 68.52 per cent turnout in the second phase of polling across 122 constituencies as of 5 pm on Tuesday.Madhubani assembly constituency combines town areas and nearby villages, with Brahmins, Muslims, Yadavs, Kayasthas, and about 13% SC voters. In 2020, it had 3,46,962 electors with a turnout of 54.13% and 1,87,739 valid votes. RJD’s Samir Kumar Mahaseth won with 71,332 votes, defeating VIP’s Suman Kumar Mahaseth, who secured 64,518, by 6,814. The contest here is largely bipolar between RJD and NDA constituents.


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