Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings: Who is more likely to win Monday Night Football in Week 1 of the 2025 NFL Season?

The 2025 NFL season kicks off in dramatic fashion as the Chicago Bears host the Minnesota Vikings on Monday Night Football at Soldier Field. With two young quarterbacks and revamped rosters, this NFC North showdown is already generating plenty of buzz.

Fans across the country are eager to know: who is more likely to win this Week 1 battle?

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings: Date, Time, TV Channel, and Streaming Info

The highly anticipated NFC North clash between the Chicago Bears and Minnesota Vikings is set for Monday, September 8, 2025, with kickoff at 8:15 PM ET. The game will be played under the lights at Soldier Field in Chicago, Illinois, one of the most iconic venues in the NFL, adding even more weight to this prime-time battle.Fans across the nation can watch the action unfold live on ABC and ESPN, or stream it through ESPN’s digital platforms.

As the first Monday Night Football game of the 2025 NFL season, this matchup not only carries divisional importance but also sets the tone for both franchises as they begin their campaigns.

Win probability and Betting trends favor Minnesota Vikings

Analytics give the Minnesota Vikings a 53% chance to win compared to the Chicago Bears at 47%, but historical trends make that edge look even stronger. The Vikings enter this Week 1 matchup on a five-game winning streak at Soldier Field, proving they’ve had little trouble winning on the road in Chicago.

From a betting perspective, Minnesota was reliable last season, finishing 11-6-1 against the spread (ATS). However, bettors should note that the Vikings’ last three season openers have all gone UNDER the total, suggesting that defenses often set the tone early in the year..

Why the Minnesota Vikings have the edge

Offensive Weapons: Minnesota still boasts Justin Jefferson, one of the league’s premier wide receivers, alongside veteran Adam Thielen and a promising rookie quarterback in J.J.

McCarthy.Coaching Stability: Kevin O’Connell returns with Brian Flores directing the defense, giving Minnesota a level of continuity that could be crucial in Week 1.The Vikings swept the Bears in 2024, including a decisive 30–12 win at U.S. Bank Stadium in Minneapolis.

Why the Chicago Bears can pull the upset

Caleb Williams’ Growth: Entering his second NFL season, Williams has had a full offseason to build chemistry with top targets D.J. Moore and rookie Rome Odunze.Ben Johnson Era Begins: Chicago’s new head coach, known for his offensive creativity in Detroit, could be the X-factor that unlocks the Bears’ potential.Home-Field Advantage: Soldier Field on a Monday night is never easy for opponents, and the Bears’ defense under Dennis Allen is built to pressure young quarterbacks.

Chicago Bears vs. Minnesota Vikings: Key matchups to watch

Caleb Williams vs. J.J. McCarthy: Both quarterbacks are still developing, but whoever manages mistakes better will likely decide the game.Justin Jefferson vs. Bears Secondary: Chicago’s cornerbacks will need to limit explosive plays to keep the game within reach. The Bears’ upgraded offensive line faces its first real test against Minnesota’s pass rush.

Final Take: Who is more likely to win?

The Minnesota Vikings enter Week 1 as clear favorites over the Chicago Bears, holding a 53% win probability compared to Chicago’s 47%. With a deeper roster, elite offensive weapons, and continuity on both sides of the ball, the Vikings hold the edge in this NFC North showdown. Still, the Bears, led by Caleb Williams and a new coaching staff, have the talent and strategy to challenge Minnesota and make the game competitive.Also Read: Will J.J. McCarthy play against the Chicago Bears tonight? Latest injury update on the popular Minnesota Vikings quarterback