Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots Super Bowl 2026: Predictions, best odds, spread, moneyline, prop bets, betting strategy, our pick, and more (February 8, 2026)

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 Predictions, best odds, spread, moneyline, prop bets, betting strategy, our pick, and more (February 8, 2026)

Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots (Image via Getty)

Super Bowl LX will be played on February 8, 2026, at Levi’s Stadium in Santa Clara, California. The SeattleSeahawks and New EnglandPatriots meet again on the Super Bowl stage after their matchup in Super Bowl XLIX. Both teams finished the regular season with 14-3 records and carried that form into the playoffs.Sportsbooks have placed Seattle as the favorite mainly because of its defense and balanced offense. New England enters the game as the underdog, and expectations point toward a matchup that could be decided by defense rather than high scoring.

Seattle Seahawks vs New England Patriots Super Bowl LX Current Odds, Moneyline, and Spread (February 8, 2026)

As of February 8, 2026, most sportsbooks list Seattle as a 4.5-point favorite, with the total set at 45.5 points.

Typical lines across sportsbooks:

Spread: Seahawks -4.5 (-115 to -118), Patriots +4.5 (-102 to +100)Moneyline: Seahawks around -235 to -238, Patriots +190 to +195Total: 45.5 (Over -108 to -110, Under -110 to -112)A $100 bet on Seattle to cover would return close to even money.

A $100 bet on New England to win outright would return about $190 to $195 if the Patriots win.The spread has stayed near 4.5 since the conference championship games, suggesting steady confidence in Seattle while also recognizing that New England has remained competitive in big games.Season Results and Team PerformanceBoth teams enter the Super Bowl with identical 17-3 overall records after going undefeated in the playoffs.

Seattle Seahawks (14-3, NFC Champions)Offense: Seattle is led by quarterback Sam Darnold, who has avoided turnovers in the postseason and distributed the ball to Jaxon Smith-Njigba, Stefon Diggs, and running back Kenneth Walker III.Defense: The Seahawks rank near the top of the league in points allowed and limiting big plays. Their defensive line has created pressure without heavy blitzing, which could matter against a Patriots offensive line that has struggled in pass protection.Analytics edge: Seattle went 12-5 against the spread in the regular season and covered multiple playoff lines.New England Patriots (14-3, AFC Champions)Offense: Quarterback Drake Maye has guided the Patriots through the AFC playoffs with his mobility and ability to extend plays. However, he has taken frequent sacks, and the offensive line has been a concern throughout the season.Defense: New England improved defensively late in the year but has not faced an offense as balanced as Seattle’s during the postseason.

Several defensive categories place the unit around the middle of the league.Analytics edge: The Patriots are 15-5 against the spread and have covered every playoff game.Recent FormSeahawks’ Recent FormSeattle enters the Super Bowl on a six-game winning streak: • NFC Championship: 31-27 win over the Rams as 2.5-point favorites (Over 45.5) • Divisional round: 41-6 win over the 49ers as 7-point favorites (Over 44.5) • Wild Card: 13-3 win at San Francisco as 2.5-point favorites (Under 48.5)Seattle averaged 28.3 points in those playoff games and allowed 12.0. All three finished under the total.Patriots’ Recent FormNew England is 4-0 straight-up and against the spread in its last four games. • AFC Championship: A road win over the Broncos briefly made the Patriots the Super Bowl favorite before Seattle’s NFC title win shifted the market again.The Patriots have averaged about 24 to 26 points per game in the postseason, but the offense has relied more on long drives than explosive plays.Key trend: Seattle held opponents to 14 points or fewer in 10 regular-season games. New England has often struggled to score more than 24 against strong defenses.Who Is Likely to Win?Most betting markets and analyst projections favor Seattle, with many expecting a margin of more than one possession.Common score projections include: • Seahawks 27, Patriots 17 • Seahawks 24, Patriots 13 • Seahawks 27, Patriots 23The main reasoning is that Seattle’s defense is better positioned to pressure Maye and limit big plays, while Darnold has managed games effectively during the postseason.New England can still win if a few things go its way: • Maye avoids turnovers and sacks. • The Patriots control field position. • They convert Seattle mistakes into points.Best Prop Bets for Seahawks vs PatriotsSportsbooks have released a wide range of props for the game.Game Props • Total points (45.5): Both defenses suggest an under lean. Seattle’s playoff games have trended under, and New England’s offense can slow down against strong defenses. • Coin toss: Heads and Tails are both priced near -105. The coin-toss winner has lost the Super Bowl more often than it has won, though the trend has little predictive value.Player PropsPassing • Sam Darnold: The line is around 231.5 passing yards. With Seattle likely to keep balance on offense, a result in the 220–230 range is reasonable. • Drake Maye: The line sits near 224.5 yards. A slight over is possible if New England has to throw more while trailing.Rushing • Kenneth Walker III: The line is about 71.5 yards. Seattle has relied on him in key moments, making a total in the mid-to-high 70s realistic. • Rhamondre Stevenson: The line is near 48.5 yards. Seattle’s run defense points toward a number closer to 40–45.Receiving • Stefon Diggs: The line is roughly 93.5 yards. He remains Seattle’s primary outside target and a reliable option for higher yardage. • Hunter Henry: The line is around 44.5 yards. His role near the goal line gives him a path to exceed that number.Touchdown scorer props • Kenneth Walker III: Anytime touchdown about -185, two or more at +270.

He is Seattle’s main goal-line runner. • Jaxon Smith-Njigba: Anytime touchdown near -105, two or more at +550. He has big-play ability but could draw top coverage. • Rhamondre Stevenson: Anytime touchdown around +150, two or more at +900. He becomes a stronger option if New England leans on short-yardage runs.Betting Guide and StrategyStraight BetsMoneyline: Seattle’s odds reflect its advantages, but a smaller play on New England at around +190 may appeal to bettors who expect a close game.Spread: The 4.5-point line is difficult to lay against a team that has consistently covered. Some bettors may look for alternate spreads or wait for live opportunities.Total: The under at 45.5 aligns with both teams’ defensive profiles and Seattle’s recent results.Props Strategy • Defensive trends support markets such as under total points, under Maye passing yards, and under Stevenson rushing yards. • Player-focused options with reasonable outlooks include Diggs over receiving yards, Walker anytime touchdown, and Henry over receiving yards.Live Betting Angles • If Seattle takes an early lead, the live under and an inflated Patriots moneyline could offer value. • If the game remains close in the second half, a shorter live Seattle moneyline may be worth considering for those expecting a late edge.Super Bowl LX brings together two teams with matching records but different expectations. Seattle is favored because of its defense, offensive balance, and playoff performances. The 4.5-point spread and 45.5 total suggest a controlled game rather than a shootout.The result may depend on whether Drake Maye can handle Seattle’s pass rush and create enough offense. If not, Sam Darnold and the Seahawks are positioned to win the Lombardi Trophy in this rematch.

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