‘Take it in writing’: Prashant Kishor’s Vijay victory prediction from a year ago comes true

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3 min readNew DelhiUpdated: May 5, 2026 12:08 PM IST

Vijay and Prashant Kishor. (File Photo)Vijay and Prashant Kishor. (File Photo)

A year ago, poll strategist-turned-politician Prashant Kishor made a bold prediction – that he would help actor Vijay’s Tamizhaga Vettri Kazhagam (TVK) win the Assembly election. With vote counting underway on Monday, the debutant’s party is looking all set to win in the state dominated by two parties.

In February 2025, while attending the TVK’s first anniversary event in Mahabalipuram, PK made a light-hearted joke that he would overtake CSK skipper Mahendra Singh Dhoni as the most popular Bihari in Tamil Nadu by helping the newly formed party secure victory in the Assembly polls.

“I have to compete with Dhoni, who makes Chennai Super Kings win,” he said, if he has “to become the most popular Bihari in Tamil Nadu.”

A few months before the event, Kishor also said that TVK could realistically expect 15 to 20% of the vote share.

PK’s 3 key conditions for Vijay’s victory

Later in March that year, PK maintained his stance that Vijay had a high chance of winning. In an interview, he said, “My understanding and data suggest that if he goes alone, he stands a very good chance to win Tamil Nadu.”

The Jan Suraaj Party founder reiterated that he was not just talking about winning seats, but about winning the state. He noted that Vijay needs to put in the effort and build the necessary political infrastructure around him.

“If the AIADMK goes with BJP, DMK alliance holds the way it is, and TVK fights alone – take it in writing – he stands a very good chance, provided 10-12 months this works out, and he does what is expected of him as a politician,” PK said as he mapped out the preferable conditions for a comfortable TVK victory.

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When it was pointed out that Vijay is an untested force in Tamil Nadu’s political landscape, PK responded, saying, “Hope is the biggest strategy.”

“Keep this video and play it when the result comes in Tamil Nadu,” he said.

Now, a little more than a year later, the duel between the ruling DMK and the AIADMK has turned into a three-pronged competition with the TVK leading in over 100 seats halfway through the counting for the 234-member Assembly.

The association, which began in February, prompted speculation in political circles at the time over how the two might join forces and reshape the contours of the Opposition in Tamil Nadu.

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Kishor offered support and advice to the TVK till July, before he had to divert his attention to the campaign for his debut performance in the Bihar Assembly election in November. While Kishor’s JSP did not secure a seat in the polls, the political guidance he offered to the actor appears to have made an impact.

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