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India's inflation rate rose in February even before the full impact of the Iran war shows on the world's fourth largest economy.
The Consumer Price Index (CPI), a measure of retail inflation, rose to 3.21% last month as against a revised 2.74% in January, according to government data on Thursday. That compares with the Reserve Bank of India's estimate of 2.1% in FY26, 4% in Q1 FY27 and 4.2% in Q2 FY27.
A surge in crude oil prices, courtesy the escalating Iran war, is likely to weigh on New Delhi's inflation math as India imports 85% of its energy needs. According to CLSA, every 10% increase in crude oil prices raises retail inflation by 40 to 60 basis points. One basis point is one-hundredth of a percentage point.
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