‘US needs India more than India needs US,’ says election strategist Vimal Singh

LUCKNOW: Despite short-term friction with New Delhi over the ongoing tariff war, the US cannot afford to alienate India given the shifting balance of power in Asia and the Middle East, said predictor and election strategist Vimal Singh.According to Singh, the US strategy will ultimately prioritise geopolitical stability over tariff or trade disputes, as India emerges as a critical counterweight to both China and Russia. “In the coming weeks, the US will adopt a more lenient approach towards India. The White House understands that beyond trade battles, India is indispensable in ensuring a balanced Asia-Pacific order,” he remarked.Singh underlined that Washington’s political elite may initially project toughness — through tariffs, sanctions, or sharp diplomatic rhetoric — but this, he claimed, is only tactical.

“Behind the curtain, the US sees India as the hinge of the democratic world in Asia. Eventually, it will step back from confrontation to preserve strategic ties,” he said.On global tensions, Singh said the US–India equation will serve as the “stabiliser” of the wider Indo-Pacific region. “The US has no option but to recognise India’s centrality. Any attempt to weaken India through economic pressures will backfire, because the world now sees India as the balancing force in Asia,” he stressed.

Singh concluded that the coming weeks will be crucial, as Washington recalibrates its policies towards India. While tactical disputes may continue, he insisted that strategic convergence is inevitable. “Ultimately, the US needs India more than India needs the US — and this reality will guide future policy,” Singh added."Besides, Tump's support to Israel in taking full control of Gaza will have long-term internal effect.

His move to bring the capital city, Washington DC, under the total control of the federal police is to check the the possibility of backlash to his West Asia policy," he said."I had talked about the importance of Japan and predicted a likely shift in Chinese policy towards India. And it's happening now," he added. China, though ambitious, will act cautiously and avoid open confrontation with India, waiting instead for economic leverage.The West Asia and Japan, he noted, are tilting towards stronger cooperation with India, especially in energy security and technology. Europe, facing its own crises, will watch India’s partnership with the US as a test case of a multipolar world.Calling for fresh political thinking in South Asia, Singh warned that military-driven politics in Pakistan and dynastic politics in Bangladesh have historically derailed progress.

He urged citizens of both nations to seek independent, accountable leadership, rather than relying on “false promises of elites.”Pakistan and Bangladesh, Singh argued, remain trapped in political instability, where entrenched dynasties and military influence obstruct real reform. The British Govt is facing crisis on economic front, immigration policy under PM Kier Starmer which is creating internal disturbances there. He should be very cautious about his policies to safeguard UK, he noted.